According to the state authority Statistics Sweden (SCB) data, september 2020 was the least deadly month per capita ever in Swedish history. So far the year 2020 has been the third least deadly year per capita ever in the country, despite the tragic and global Covid-19 pandemic.
|Deaths in September 1860 – 2020 in Sweden per 100 000 population. Data: SCB|
September 2020 was the least deadly month ever in Sweden, at least so far back as the data from SCB:s public database provides data. There were 63.07 deaths per 100 000 people in September 2020, and the previous record low was 64.24 in June 2019, and before that 65.13 in June 2018.
The numbers are calculated from the number of deaths by month in the SCB database for the years 1860 – 2019 and for 2020 the running updates from SCB, which lags two weeks and now are solid for September with the October 19 updated Excel sheet. This is divided by the yearly population by year for 1860 – 2019 from the SCB database and for August 2020 for the year 2020.
For the year 2020 so far, ie January – September, the number of deaths per capita is the third lowest ever.
|Deaths January – September 1860 – 2020 in Sweden per 100 000 population. Data: SCB|
The number of deaths per 100 000 population in Sweden was 675 for January – September 2020. 2019 January – September have the record low at 636 and 2016 had the record before that at 673. Data sources are the same as above.
Both 2017 and 2018 had a higher numer of deaths per capita January – September than Sweden have had for the same months in 2020, despite the Covid-19 pandemic.
Possible confounding factors might be demographic mix. However, the average age in Sweden (SCB database table) was 41.1 years in 2011, and had a plateau at 41.2 for the years 2012 – 2018, and increased to 41.3 years in 2019, so the average population age is increasing. There is no data for 2020 yet.
I am not an epidemiologist. It is not up to me to draw conclusions from this. The numbers above are simple facts, based on the high quality official statistics. My only merit is running the independent blog in economics and politics in Sweden with the highest traffic since the start 2008, and being used to crunch official statistics and data. As my Swedish language article on the subject got some international attention, I have published this article in bad English.
Please also see my photos from the handling of Covid-19 in Stockholm during the voluntary lockdown in May 2020. There are a lot of disinformation about Sweden and Covid-19. One can only speculate as to why. Maybe people and politicians need someone else to point finger at to avoid self-criticism?
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